东盟区域内FDI流动的现状与展望

长期以来,东盟国家利用外资主要来源于欧美、日本及亚洲新兴工业化国家和地区。上世纪80年代以后,随着东盟国家经济的快速发展,东盟国家的对外投资、包括区域内部投资日趋活跃。到90年代初,区域内FDI已经成为东盟国家利用外资的主要来源之一。但随后受亚洲金融危机影响,东盟区域内FDI流动出现了大幅下降。近几年,随着东盟国家经济的复苏,区域内FDI开始走出低谷,呈现出恢复性增长的态势。同时,这一时期,区域内FDI的来源地、行业构成也表现出一些引人关注的特点。一、区域内FDI流动出现恢复性增长自上世纪80年代以来,随着东盟国家经济的…     

苏西洛执政以来印尼外国直接投资(FDI)流入结构变化及其原因分析

本文从外国直接投资(FDI)增长趋势、投资来源国以及产业部门分布三个角度介绍苏西洛执政以来印尼FDI的流入状况。并对这一时期印尼FDI流入发生重大变化的原因作具体分析,笔者认为投资基础条件的改善、政策法律的完善以及区域合作的深化是印尼FDI流入结构变化的主要原因。文章分析了目前印尼仍存在的主要投资障碍。     

中国-东盟的直接投资关系：趋势与发展

20世纪90年代以来,随着中国与东盟双边关系的全面发展,双边经贸关系发展十分迅速,双向直接投资流动日趋活跃.中国已经成为东盟对外直接投资(FDI)的重要地区,与此同时,中国也是一些东盟国家重要的FDI来源地.但总体上,双边投资流动的潜力还没有充分挖掘出来.为了进一步密切双边投资关系,推进双边经济合作,有必要就双边直接投资关系的发展趋势及前景进行分析.     

中国与东盟各国间的贸易与FDI关系实证研究

本文选取2003～2009年间中国与东盟各国贸易和直接投资面板数据,用实证方法研究中国和东盟各国间的贸易与对外直接投资(FDI)的关系,结果表明:中国对缅甸、印度尼西亚、老挝、新加坡、越南的FDI及新加坡对中国的FDI促进进口贸易、出口贸易、进出口总贸易;中国对文莱、柬埔寨、菲律宾的FDI及文莱对中国的FDI促进出口贸易;中国对柬埔寨的直接投资促进进出口总贸易;泰国对中国的FDI与进口贸易、出口贸易、进出口总贸易间存在替代效应。此外,对外直接投资和贸易具有极强的双向因果关系。     

全面发展中的中国一东盟经贸关系——纪念中国一东盟对话关系建立20周年

中国一东盟建立对话关系20年来,双方经贸迅猛增长,双向投资快速扩大,合作机制逐步建立,合作领域不断拓宽。这些成就对促进中国经济长期平稳较快增长、对东盟经济发展与稳定以及对提升地区的国际经济地位,都具有极其重要的意义。未来,为增强应对区域和全球经济形势变化的能力,中国一东盟经贸关系还应在健全配套合作机制、均衡发展投资关系、积极推进货币金融合作、夯实重点合作项目方面取得进一步发展。     

吉林省经济发展中的环境问题

改革开放以来，随着人口、经济的增长和工业化、城市化进程的加快，吉林省的环境问题对经济、社会的影响日益扩大，已成为制约经济发展的重要因素。为此，应尽早转变以往的粗放增长模式，走可持续发展的道路     

FDI对中国外贸顺差的影响分析

近年来,中国己成为世界最大的外商直接投资引进国,其外商直接投资流入一直处于高速增长的趋势.在中国对外贸易发展和贸易顺差增长的过程中,外商直接投资扮演了十分重要的角色.随着中国外贸依存度和经济开放度的提升,中国吸引FDI快速增长的同时贸易顺差也在不断扩大.本文将从外商直接投资在中国的发展情况入手,分析外商直接投资对中国外贸顺差的影响机制,并在黄志刚(2009年)数理模型的基础上对二者的内在关系进行计量检验,以期从合理利用外商直接投资的角度得到缓解中国外贸顺差的对策建议.这对于正确认识中国外贸顺差问题、合理有效地利用外商直接投资具有重要的现实意义.     

试论印度利用FDI的经济效应及启示

外国直接投资（FDI）对东道国经济作用是多维度的，本文从多个视角透析FDI对印度资本形成、技术溢出、产业演进以及贸易结构的作用，从而揭示FDI对印度所产生的经济效应，并提出对中国利用FDI的启示，这对我们进一步认识和把握印度经济发展动态具有重要的战略意义。     

吉林省与蒙古国经贸合作的对策研究

蒙古国良好的投资环境及中国的振兴东北老工业基地战略为吉林省与蒙古国的经贸合作提供了前提条件，两国间良好的合作关系、地缘优势、较强的经济互补性是吉林省与蒙古经贸合作的有利条件。但由于蒙古处于转轨时期，政策多变，缺乏对中国现行政策的了解，中国在蒙古投资的大项目少且落实缓慢，以及少数商贩把伪劣商品销往蒙古等原因，使双方合作受到一些限制。因此，吉林省应有针对性地在输出技术和劳务、加大轻纺产品和食品生产输出、加强与蒙方的矿产资源开发，并扩大工程承包和基础设施建设等方面加强合作。     

泰国的投资环境

前言亚洲金融危机发生后过了8年时间,泰国经济已十分良好。对泰国的汽车及电气电子等领域的外国直接投资(FDI)不断增加,这反映了泰国稳定的政局和始终一贯的经济管理,以及从积圾促进自由贸易协定(FTA)的姿态所看到的对扩大对外经济关系的期待。过去20年期间,在泰国的外国直接投资累计额中,日本约占了40％,是最大的投资国。日本在金融危机后仍继续将泰国作为核心生产基地,现在有超过1200家的日资企业雇用了约40万名泰国人,积极地进行着企业活动。     

The Political Economy of U.S. Direct Investment in East Asian NICs, 1966–2000

This paper examines the role of FDI from the United States in the economic performance of East Asian NICs for 1966–2000. To this end, we draw our argument of the role of FDI from the modernization–dependency debate. Then, we test the economic effects of U.S. direct investment on economic growth in East Asian NICs using a neoclassical production function model that captures the economic impacts of both foreign and domestic investment on economic growth. Our empirical results show that U.S. direct investment has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in East Asian NICs.     

越南外商直接投资的特点及其对经济增长的影响

从20世纪80年代后期开始,越南开始推行经济体制改革,鼓励外商投资者到越南投资.由于越南丰富的劳动力资源和良好的社会环境,越南经济增长很快,良好的经济基本面吸引了大量外商直接投资,而外商直接投资在越南经济增长中也发挥了重要作用.     

Is foreign direct investment good for the poor? A review and stocktake

Few issues in the development process raise as much heat as the role of the international private sector in the form of transnational corporations (TNCs) and foreign direct investment (FDI). This article reviews the most recent research on the impact of FDI on economic growth and poverty reduction in developing countries. A brief history of FDI is given. This is followed by discussion of the conceptual transmission mechanisms linking FDI, growth, and poverty. The available empirical evidence is then discussed. It is argued that it is not a question of whether FDI is good or bad for social and economic development, but that its impact is determined by the terms upon which FDI is accepted. Although overall the evidence on FDI, growth, and poverty is not conclusive, research has had a tendency to suggest that the benefits of FDI are linked to the FDI policy regime; and that the current orthodoxy of maintaining a highly liberal FDI policy regime leads to a situation whereby developing countries have a precarious trade-off to make between attracting FDI and maintaining policy instruments to extract the benefits of any inflows.     

日本对华直接投资鸟瞰

日本对华直接投资经历30多年的曲折发展,出现过两次高潮,现正进入新的发展阶段。日本对华直接投资的地位和投资结构都发生了相应的变化。由于中国经济持续稳定高速增长,而日本经济则陷入长期停滞,前景黯淡,日本企业纷纷以中国为中心开展海外事业,日本对华直接投资可望进一步呈现波浪式向前发展的态势。为此,我国要采取积极的对策,进一步推进日本对华直接投资的新发展。     

长吉图先导区扩大利用外商直接投资研究

积极利用外商直接投资,对于促进长吉图先导区经济加快发展、全面提高对外开放水平和产业升级等都具有极为重要的意义。针对长吉图先导区利用外商直接投资存在的总体规模小、对外商直接投资具有较强承接能力的产业偏少、资金到位率波动明显且水平偏低等问题,长吉图先导区扩大利用外商直接投资,应该重点抓好全面优化投资环境、明确利用外商直接投资重点区域、拓宽利用外资领域、协调区域招商引资政策等工作。     

Coercive Assets? Foreign Direct Investment and the Use of Economic Sanctions

How does foreign direct investment (FDI) affect the use of economic coercion? This article argues that while FDI matters, the effect depends on the entry mode of the FDI. The economic interdependence created by FDI does not have a monotonic effect on economic statecraft because the relative costs incurred by economic disruption differ depending on the forms of foreign investment. In particular, the FDI that creates wholly-owned subsidiaries (for example, cross-border mergers and aquisitions) imposes greater costs to the sender's firms than cross-border joint ventures with local partners, while FDI through joint ventures incurs greater costs for the host than the home country and its firms. By utilizing US sanction episodes from the Threat and Imposition of Economic Sanctions (TIES) dataset, the empirical analysis supports the argument. The results show that economic sanctions are less likely to occur as the share of FDI through cross-border mergers and acquisitions increases.     

评析外国直接投资对非洲国家经济发展的影响

2000年以来,基于科学技术突飞猛进的发展和国际产业分工格局的深刻变化,经济全球化趋势加速深化。外国直接投资作为国际资本流动的主要方式已经成为带动新兴发展中国家经济体快速增长的重要手段之一。随着非洲大陆外国直接投资流入规模的不断增加,外资在非洲东道国经济发展中的重要性日益增加。当前外资对于非洲国家的资本形成、制度变迁、对外贸易、技术进步、可持续发展等方面都产生了一定影响。非洲国家应该权衡利弊,提高对外资的吸收能力,更好地通过利用外资实现经济发展。     

The politics of hosting Chinese investment in Europe—an introduction

Though still a small percentage of the total stock of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) present in European countries, FDI coming from China has risen dramatically in the European Union (EU) since 2009. This introduction to the special issue on “The Politics of Hosting Chinese Investment in Europe” examines the political fears aroused by this recent surge and by the prospect of continued Chinese direct investment in European economies. After surveying patterns of Chinese investment in the EU, this introduction asks what is distinctive about the potential economic and political consequences of Chinese FDI and lays out the argument for and against treating Chinese FDI as sui generis.     

Federal Institutions and Multinational Investors: Federalism,Government Credibility,and Foreign Direct Investment

Political risk is an important factor in the decision to invest abroad. While the investment potential might be lucrative, there is always the risk that the host government will expropriate the profits and assets of the foreign investor. Political institutions, however, can serve as constraints on the actions of political actors in the host country. We argue that federal structures lower political risk. Joint-reputational accountability in overlapping political jurisdictions increases the likelihood that investment contracts will be honored. Empirical analyses of cross-sectional time-series data for 115 countries, from 1975–1995, are used to study how political institutions affect foreign direct investment (FDI) flows. After controlling for the effect of relevant economic and political variables, we find that both democratic and federal institutions help attract FDI, although the additive effect of democracy and federalism is small. This is not surprising; democratic systems already have low political risk; they do not need the additional credibility that the federal system provides to attract FDI. In contrast, we expect that federal structures significantly improve the trustworthiness of less democratic states. Empirically, we find that less democratic countries with federal political systems attract some of the highest levels of FDI.     

Political Investment Cycles in Democracies and Autocracies

Extant research has shown considerable interest in whether host countries’ political uncertainty impedes foreign direct investment (FDI). Building upon the scholarly consensus on the adverse impact of political uncertainty on FDI, this article demonstrates that the extent to which investment climates are unpredictable varies cyclically, on the basis of election timing in democracies and leadership turnover in autocracies. The empirical results show that in presidential democracies, FDI tends to slowly increase after an executive election and then decline as the next executive election nears. However, I find that an electoral investment cycle is not found in parliamentary democracies where election timing is irregular, less predictable, and endogenous to domestic economic conditions. I also find that a similar political investment cycle exists in autocracies not through electoral cycle but through leadership tenure cycle. The level of FDI inflows tends to be relatively low early in autocrats’ tenure when political uncertainty is high and rise as autocratic leadership tenure increases over time but eventually wane again as autocratic leadership is destabilized in the late period of power transition. The findings indicate the existence of heterogeneous political investment cycles, depending on regime type.