FDI对中国外贸顺差的影响分析

近年来,中国己成为世界最大的外商直接投资引进国,其外商直接投资流入一直处于高速增长的趋势.在中国对外贸易发展和贸易顺差增长的过程中,外商直接投资扮演了十分重要的角色.随着中国外贸依存度和经济开放度的提升,中国吸引FDI快速增长的同时贸易顺差也在不断扩大.本文将从外商直接投资在中国的发展情况入手,分析外商直接投资对中国外贸顺差的影响机制,并在黄志刚(2009年)数理模型的基础上对二者的内在关系进行计量检验,以期从合理利用外商直接投资的角度得到缓解中国外贸顺差的对策建议.这对于正确认识中国外贸顺差问题、合理有效地利用外商直接投资具有重要的现实意义.     

越南吸引外商直接投资（FDI）结构分析

越南实施革新开放政策以来,加快吸引外商直接投资的步伐。本文从国别结构、行业结构、区域结构3个角度对越南吸引FDI的结构进行分析,并分析FDI给越南经济发展带来的影响。     

外商对越南投资减少

据日本《工业新闻》报道,今年上半年外商对越南的投资减少.自越南实行对外开放以来,特别是进入90年代以来,外商对越南的投资逐年增加.到1998年5月底为止,外商对越南投资累计达317亿美元.其中,新加坡占20%,台湾占13%,香港占12%,日本占11%,韩国占10%.但是,从去年下半年开始,外商对越南的投资放慢.与去年同期相比,今年上半年外商对越投资减少了24.2%.     

吉林省外商直接投资经济效应的实证研究

外商直接投资(FDI)对经济增长的促进作用近年来越来越成为各国、各地区的关注热点。在国务院做出促进东北老工业基地进一步扩大对外开放战略部署的新形势下,通过协整关系分析和Granger因果检验对吉林省FDI的经济效应进行实证研究,发现吉林省FDI与经济增长之间具有长期稳定的均衡关系,并且存在FDI到经济增长的单向因果关系。据此提出:吉林省要持续发展,必须加快扩大外资规模、优化投资结构,合理有效、因地制宜地利用外资。     

21世纪以来印度与越南的经济关系发展研究

进入21世纪以来,由于印度和越南之间的政治关系更加密切,两国经济合作保持快速增长,两国的商品贸易获得了高速增长,贸易结构发生明显变化,双方在彼此对外贸易中的地位提高,印度对越南的直接投资有所增加。但是,两国商品贸易不平衡,印度对越南的直接投资及发展援助不多,两国经济关系主要表现为贸易关系。印度与越南经济关系的发展对中国产生了一定影响。     

长吉图先导区扩大利用外商直接投资研究

积极利用外商直接投资,对于促进长吉图先导区经济加快发展、全面提高对外开放水平和产业升级等都具有极为重要的意义。针对长吉图先导区利用外商直接投资存在的总体规模小、对外商直接投资具有较强承接能力的产业偏少、资金到位率波动明显且水平偏低等问题,长吉图先导区扩大利用外商直接投资,应该重点抓好全面优化投资环境、明确利用外商直接投资重点区域、拓宽利用外资领域、协调区域招商引资政策等工作。     

世界金融危机下的越南经济——2009年上半年经济形势分析

2009年上半年,全球范围的金融危机导致世界经济衰退,对越南经济造成严重影响,面对各种不利因素,越南采取各种有力措施,经济仍保持增长,出口市场得到扩大;投资环境继续改善,投资者对越南经济发展有信心.2009年上半年越南经济继续保持增长,越南是目前东南亚地区经济增长速度较快的国家之一.     

需要大量投资

越南曾被预测有可能成为亚洲的另一条小龙.但10多年来,越南经济却从未出现过持续增长.世界银行预计其年均经济增长率仅为3.5%,落后于亚洲众多新兴国家.1996年,越南的外来投资达到顶峰,之后开始走下坡路.去年的外国直接投资额下降67%,许多跨国公司纷纷放弃这个拥有8000万人口的市场,在河内和胡志明市已有许多建设中的办公楼和酒店停工.越南方面称,越南虽然拥有大量勤奋的劳工,但其经济制度存在太多的繁文得节.越南食品污染问题严重,使外商转投其他亚洲市场.越南目前经济困难,主要原因是政府没有为外资提供一个完善的投资环境.据《越南经济时报》报道,越南计划和投资部预计,为了在今后10年达到国内生产总值能够翻一番,越南从2001年到2005年五年计划期间,全社会需要投资650亿到750亿美元.报道说,在动员国内投资的同时,大约需要     

外商投资越南:现状、趋势与思考

近年来,越南对外经济贸易关系发展迅速,尤其是在引进外资方面成绩更是令人瞩目。本文拟对外商在越南投资状况进行分析,并对其发展趋势作一初步的探讨。一、外商投资越南的现状与特点外商大量投资越南,是自1987年12月29日越南颁布《外国在越南投资法》后开始的。据资料显示,1987—1989年,越南吸引外资7亿美元,1990年达6亿美元,1991年高达12亿美     

越南吸引外资的新成效

近年来,越南经济持续、稳定发展。2001年至2004年,越南GDP增长分别为6·8%、7%、7·2%和7·7%。2005年,越南GDP增长高达8·4%,人均GDP增至640美元。越南经济的快速增长,与越南近年来吸引外资取得的新成效有着密切联系。2005年12月越南政府公布的统计数据显示,年内全国吸引外国直接投资58·53亿美元。①这一数字包括年内新项目注册和原项目追加投资。2005年吸引外资比上年增长38%,超过原定计划指标(45亿美元)近30%。全年新的投资来自42个国家和地区,有771个项目。项目数比2004年增长98%,注册资金约40亿美元,增长63%;同时,原有投资项目有5…     

中国对越南FDI的企业所得税税收筹划探析

目前，中国与东盟正在积极建立中国-东盟自由贸易区，这对于双方来说都是极具发展潜力的大好时机。现在，中国是东盟第四大贸易伙伴，东盟是中国第五大贸易伙伴，双方贸易额以年均20％以上的速度增长。2007年双边贸易额达2025．5亿美元。截至2007年6月底，双方累计相互投资总额已达4541乙美元。     

中国与东盟各国间的贸易与FDI关系实证研究

本文选取2003～2009年间中国与东盟各国贸易和直接投资面板数据,用实证方法研究中国和东盟各国间的贸易与对外直接投资(FDI)的关系,结果表明:中国对缅甸、印度尼西亚、老挝、新加坡、越南的FDI及新加坡对中国的FDI促进进口贸易、出口贸易、进出口总贸易;中国对文莱、柬埔寨、菲律宾的FDI及文莱对中国的FDI促进出口贸易;中国对柬埔寨的直接投资促进进出口总贸易;泰国对中国的FDI与进口贸易、出口贸易、进出口总贸易间存在替代效应。此外,对外直接投资和贸易具有极强的双向因果关系。     

Variation in Bilateral Investment Treaty Provisions and Foreign Direct Investment Flows to China, 1997–2011

This article examines the differentisal effects of specific provisions included in China’s bilateral investment treaties (BITs) in inducing foreign direct investment (FDI). Empirical analysis yields some evidence suggesting that while the signing of a BIT does not necessarily boost FDI, the entry into force of a BIT does exert a strong effect on investment flows. More importantly, we find substantial evidence that BITs with stronger investment protection provisions such as absolute and relative standards of treatment and dispute settlement procedures are more likely to induce greater FDI flows. These results suggest that the variation in the institutional design of bilateral investment treaties strongly influences FDI flows by shaping foreign investors’ expectations of their asset security and the overall stability of the host country investment environment.     

越南会计准则国际趋同进程及完善

一、越南会计准则国际趋同的进程 越南自1986年实行革新开放以来,随着经济体制的改革,市场经济和资本市场的建立,大量的引进外资以及以出口为导向的经济增长模式促进了越南会计准则的国际趋同;另外,加入东盟、亚太经合组织和东盟会计联合会也加快了越南会计准则国际趋同的步伐.     

Improving Reputation BIT by BIT: Bilateral Investment Treaties and Foreign Accountability

The literature on foreign direct investment (FDI) has paid an increasing interest to international institutions such as bilateral investment treaties (BITs), but whether BITs help attract FDI is an unsettled question. Building on the existing literature, this article argues that BITs can change investors’ perceptions and the corresponding investment they make because signing BITs signals the involvement of another powerful country that is able to compel the host government to comply. This implies that the effect of BITs is not constant across signatory countries: BITs are more effective when they are signed with rich and influential countries. Using monadic and dyadic FDI data, this article finds that BITs signed with powerful countries (defined as the top six largest economies) lead to an increase in FDI inflows (both from these signatory countries and from other countries). BITs signed with other countries, despite in a larger quantity, have little influence on FDI inflows.     

Political institutions and FDI inflows in autocratic countries*

ABSTRACT

Why do some autocratic countries attract more foreign direct investment (FDI) than others? Surprisingly, few studies have explored the considerable variation in FDI inflows to non-democratic countries. In this article, I argue that non-democratic countries with seemingly democratic political institutions, such as elected legislatures, attract more FDI inflow than others. This is because these institutions can (1) reduce the transaction costs of investment activities due to the relative transparency of the policy-making process, and (2) act as veto players, making the existing market-friendly policy changes difficult, and thus, promising a more stable investment environment. My empirical results support the main expectation that autocratic countries with legislatures attract more FDI than other autocratic countries, and the institutions’ effects are conditionally modified by the quality of market protecting institutions.     

试论印度利用FDI的经济效应及启示

外国直接投资（FDI）对东道国经济作用是多维度的，本文从多个视角透析FDI对印度资本形成、技术溢出、产业演进以及贸易结构的作用，从而揭示FDI对印度所产生的经济效应，并提出对中国利用FDI的启示，这对我们进一步认识和把握印度经济发展动态具有重要的战略意义。     

Coercive Assets? Foreign Direct Investment and the Use of Economic Sanctions

How does foreign direct investment (FDI) affect the use of economic coercion? This article argues that while FDI matters, the effect depends on the entry mode of the FDI. The economic interdependence created by FDI does not have a monotonic effect on economic statecraft because the relative costs incurred by economic disruption differ depending on the forms of foreign investment. In particular, the FDI that creates wholly-owned subsidiaries (for example, cross-border mergers and aquisitions) imposes greater costs to the sender's firms than cross-border joint ventures with local partners, while FDI through joint ventures incurs greater costs for the host than the home country and its firms. By utilizing US sanction episodes from the Threat and Imposition of Economic Sanctions (TIES) dataset, the empirical analysis supports the argument. The results show that economic sanctions are less likely to occur as the share of FDI through cross-border mergers and acquisitions increases.     

云南瓷器在越南北部传播初探

随着考古遗址的不断发掘，在越南发现越来越多的云南古代瓷器。与此同时，经过对越南瓷器和云南瓷器的比对，发现越南瓷器深受云南瓷器的影响。本文从考古学入手，介绍和分析了云南瓷器在越南北部地区的传播过程及相关情况。     

Foreign direct investment and the risk of regime transition in autocracies

Economic globalization and, in particular, foreign direct investment (FDI) have often been considered to be catalysts for economic reform and political liberalization. It is argued that openness to foreign investment spurs democratization by empowering pro-liberalization actors and undermining elite cohesion. This article explores and tests three alternative hypotheses linking FDI and autocratic regime survival. The liberalization hypothesis claims that FDI promotes democratization. The state-capture hypothesis suggests that FDI, by increasing the value of power, may raise the risk of an autocratic transition. Lastly, the stabilization hypothesis, contrary to the first two, claims that FDI can enhance dictatorships’ stability by opening new opportunities for distributing benefits to regime elites. The empirical analysis, covering about 100 countries for the time period 1970–2008, uses data on autocratic breakdowns and transition types to test the above hypotheses. The reported evidence does not support the liberalization or the state-capture hypothesis. FDI is found to reduce the likelihood of democratic transitions.