The “New India” Vision and the Building of a Closer China-India Partnership

The“New India”vision,the administrative goal proposed by Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in his first term of office,has blossomed into a great-power strategy for India’s rise.Implementation of the strategy will not only bring about changes in India and in India’s relationship with the outside world,but also influence,indeed reshape,China-India relations.     

An Analysis of the Indian Modi Administration's Policy on the South China Sea Issue

Geographically,India is not a country in the region of the South China Sea,nor is it a country concerned in the issue on a geopolitical level or a US ally in the Asia-Pacific region.It has been very cautious to avoid taking sides in the South China Sea issue.However,since Modi took office in 2014,changes have taken place in the external environment that India faces,in maritime safety strategy,as well as in India's policies toward the US and China.India is becoming increasingly active in the issue of the South China Sea,voicing criticism and taking precautions against China.While India's policy on the South China Sea will not be completely the same as that of the United States and Japan,due to concerns for its own interests in the future,it is quite possible that India will take advantage of the issue of the South China Sea and will adopt more comprehensive ways to get involved in the issue.     

Recent Political Developments in India and Their Effects

In March 2017,Narendra Modi led his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to victory in state elections,among which he gained parliamentary election of Uttar Pradesh (state in northern India),known as the weather vane of Indian elections.Back in 2014,the BJP had already won a simple majority in Lok Sabha (the lower house of parliament),bringing an end to more than 30 years of coalition government.Now,the BJP is exhibiting stronger presence as a one-party-rule at both federal and local levels,with no counter-balance from the Indian National Congress,local parties,or left wing parties now or in the foreseeable future.This increases the likelihood of Modi's re-election as prime minister in 2019.Obviously,Indian political development is characterized by complexity,accidental factors and intrinsic logic,which will definitely exert great influence on the future of India.     

印度软实力初探——论印度发展软实力的优势与劣势

在当代国际关系中，随着时代主题的转变、全球化大潮的全面来临，国家之间相互依赖程度的加深，用传统军事经济手段解决问题的成本日益加大，国家软实力的重要性正日趋上升。印度是一个正在崛起的新兴大国，了解印度的软实力及其发展、变化和运用，对我国有极其重要的意义。本文旨在探讨印度的软实力，分析印度发展软实力的优势与劣势。     

中印关系的新趋势与新挑战（英文）

While frequent high-level interactions and policy communication have provided stability in China-India relations, the involvement of third parties and changes in India's China policy are eroding the steady development of ties. Coping with a more pragmatic and increasingly self-confident India under Prime Minister Modi will be a test of China's strategic composure and wisdom.     

China''s India Studies

Over the past 50 years, with the improvement of relationship between India and China, the scope of India studies in China＇s IR research has been broadened and the new areas of studies are being explored. The research agenda of India studies has already extended to the areas like economy, society, culture, security, national strategy and their impact on both bilateral and international relations. In this situation, the focuses of India studies in China＇s IR research can be mainly identified as follows： reviews on India＇s social, political and economic systems; analysis on the national strategy and foreign policy; Sino-Indian relations; India＇s relations with some international organizations. However, even though many fresh progresses have been made in India studies, the India studies in China＇s IR research still lag far behind the study of other important countries like the U.S., UK, Russia and Japan, and more problems and challenges will face in the coming future. The paper believes that a fuller understanding of India probably will not make China and India close friends, but it definitely will help to prevent them from becoming fierce enemies.     

“东向行动”下印越合作新发展及其对华影响

2014年印度总理莫迪当选后将“东向”政策升级为“东向行动”政策,期望凭借印度在南亚次大陆的地缘优势,寻求南亚霸权的同时,向东扩展自己的战略利益。基于地缘政治和区域战略的需要,越南成为莫迪政府的“东向行动”政策的重要战略支持,两国不断推进多渠道的联系与交往,并逐步发展成为全面战略伙伴关系,在双边和多边层次上加强政治、军事、安全、经济等多方面的合作。尽管印越两国合作是基于战略和安全的现实需要,但由于两国均为中国邻国,且当前两国仍与中国存在着领土争端,因此在战略上相互借力,平衡中国在区域内的影响就成为两国发展伙伴关系的重要目标,印越两国在各领域的合作也在一定程度上对我国的周边安全环境造成了影响。     

试析2l世纪初印度的东南亚战略

从上个世纪90年代初开始,实行大国战略的印度就制定了初步的东南亚战略,进入21世纪以来,印度加大了推行东南亚战略的力度,在政治、经济、军事和安全等方面加强与东南亚国家的联系、交往与合作,为印度在亚太地区寻求更广阔的战略空间奠定了坚实的基础。     

浅论印度的软实力

印度一直在追寻大国梦，它在大力发展经济、军事、科技等硬实力的同时，软实力也有长足的提升。当然，印度离全球“有声有色的大国”尚有一段距离。尽管如此，印度的软实力断然不可小觑。     

20世纪中叶以来印度对华政策中涉藏行为分析

“西藏问题”在中印关系中一直是印度国家安全战略中的重要组成部分，是印度政府对华政策的重要内容，在一定程度上可以说是印度政府用以制华的一张牌。随着中印关系的发展，“西藏问题”在中印关系中的地位发生了变化。本文通过就印度对华政策中涉藏行为的回顾、对其西藏政策出台背景的分析以及对中印关系中“西藏问题”前景的预测，揭示中印关系中“西藏问题”的实质，指出“和平发展”不仅是中印两国国家利益所需，也有助于“西藏问题”的解决、有利于境内外藏族人民。     

印度海洋战略析论

作为印度洋地区的重要国家，印度积极推行以称雄印度洋为核心目标的海洋战略，争当海权强国。经过20多年的发展与完善，印度已经形成一套完备的海洋战略思想体系，其体系建构之宏大，远洋海军发展信心之坚定日益引起亚太地区国家的广泛关注。尤其是近年来，印度大举扩充海军军备，意图打造一支攻守兼备的庞大远洋海军，更令周边国家感到不安。如何看待印度海洋战略的内涵和利益指向是包括中国在内的国家应当审慎思量和切实应对的重要问题。     

印度的海洋战略及印美在印度洋的合作与矛盾

作为主要的印度洋国家,印度长期以来寻求一项确保自身安全和经济利益的大国海洋战略,它体现了印度立足南亚、面向印度洋、争做世界大国的战略图谋。冷战结束以来,特别是随着印度综合国力的发展以及追寻其“大国梦”的步骤加快,印度对印度洋的安全需求持续增大,将确保海洋战略利益、特别是保证印度洋海上石油通道的安全视为保护其基本国家战略利益的头等大事。鉴于印度洋对印度和美国的重要战略意义,印度在实施其海洋战略过程中既会与美国保持合作,同时也可能引发相互间的利益冲突。     

印度经济现代化战略的审视与前瞻

印度经济现代化战略是一种体现了后起国家努力摆脱殖民依附的模式,它最初带有浓重历史印迹,具有较强的经济民族主义色彩,随着实践推进,改革与新思维不断涌现,又汇入了开放合作的发展理论主流。近年来颇受关注的"莫迪经济学"其本质也表现在此。然而特定制度环境以及增长的非均衡分配效应等,仍限制着印度发展模式的调整转型,导致印度难以迅速复制中国以制造业为主导的现代化模式,展现出较强的路径依赖特征。但莫迪政府的励精图治和改革进取也给印度经济发展注入新的动力,印度经济现代化战略有望取得新的突破。     

印度战略思维浅析——从国家安全战略的角度

战略思维研究是战略学研究的新领域,它把思维科学引入战略研究,从而丰富并扩展了后者的研究范围.作为正在崛起的发展中大国,印度的一举一动越来越多地牵动着整个世界的神经,因此对印度的战略思维进行研究具有重要的现实意义.本文从战略思维主体的认识环境、战略思维主体的心理特征和战略思维方式三个方面对印度的战略思维进行了尝试性的分析.其中,战略思维主体的认识环境是影响战略思维方式的客观因素,战略思维主体的心理特征是影响战略思维方式的主观因素,在两者合力的作用下形成了印度独特的战略思维方式.     

印度的能源对策分析

能源供应与经济发展这一矛盾已成为世界各国共同关注的难题。为了应对经济增长所面临的能源短缺危机,印度开始全面实施新能源战略,一方面对内大力发展新能源,另一方面在全球范围内实施能源外交与合作,效果显著,因此,针对印度能源战略的分析有利于为我国建立完善能源战略提供参考依据和借鉴。     

Populism,ontological insecurity and Hindutva: Modi and the masculinization of Indian politics

Abstract

In an era increasingly defined by insecurity and populist politics, India has emerged as a forceful ontological security provider under the leadership of Marendra Modi. If ontological security is about finding a safe (imagined) haven, then ontological insecurity is about the lack of such a space in narrative terms. Drawing on Lacanian understandings of ‘the imaginary’ as something that can fill and naturalize this lack of space, the article is concerned with how memories, places and symbols of narrative identity constructions are used in populist discourse. More specifically, it attempts to understand the relationship between ontological insecurity and the imaginaries of populist politics in India. In so doing, it argues that the re-invention of ‘nationhood’, ‘religion’ and ‘Hindu masculinity’ along gendered lines has created a foundation for governing practices aimed at ‘healing’ a number of ontological insecurities manifest in Indian society. It specifically looks at how the Modi doctrine has formulated and expanded its foreign policy discourse into one that privileges populist narratives of nativism, nationalism and religion as forms of ontological security provision at home and abroad, but also how everyday practices can challenge such narratives, thus allowing different imaginaries of the Indian state.     

中国视角中的印度与东盟关系

20世纪80年代末90年代初,随着冷战的结束和全球区域经济一体化浪潮的兴起,印度重新意识到东盟对其在政治、经济和外交上的重要性,及时提出“东向政策”。印度调整东盟政策,提升与东南亚的战略关系,是印度实施全方位外交、推行大国战略的重要组成部分,无疑将给东亚区域合作及中国东盟关系的未来发展带来重大影响。中国应适时调整与东盟、印度的关系,增强中印两国在东南亚的共同利益与合作愿景,推动中、印、东盟三边关系向更高层次发展。     

试析冷战后印度对非洲的外交政策

印度和非洲国家长期以来一直保持着密切的联系。冷战结束以后，随着国际体系和非洲形势的变革，印度对于非洲的政策出现了新的趋向。印度加强了与非洲在能源、经济、政治、军事等领域的合作。印度试图通过加强双边合作，旨在确保本国的能源安全、促成政治大国的目标实现以及巩固军事安全。     

印度经济增长模式研究

自20世纪90年代以来,在印度国民经济发展战略及其生产力要素增长机制、运行原则的作用与影响下,逐渐形成了一种以此实现印度国民财富增长（即产出增加）的相对特殊范式或途径的印度经济增长模式。因而,分析印度经济增长的基本运行态势、印度经济增长动力源泉或各种要素的特殊组合方式以及印度经济增长的特殊类型或模式,寻求印度经济增长的一般路径,揭示其内在的、本质的、必然的规律性,并以此反映印度经济增长基础之上的经济发展模式属性,为近邻中国的经济增长与发展提供经验启迪等具有十分重要的理论与现实意义。     

中印关系发展：文化层面的反思与展望

本文以迄今为止中印关系曲折发展的历史进程为基础，从文化心理层面对中印之间的双向认知进行历史考古，回顾了印度对中国的认知与形象建构、中国对印度的认知历史，讨论了中印如何正确认识对方、文化交流在发展中印关系中的意义，并对通过文化交流深化中印关系进行了反思和展望。